Average to Mild Winter Expected

NOAA predicting mild winter in New England – Boston News, Weather, Sports

NOAA predicting mild winter in New England – Boston News, Weather, Sports

"Up in ME the forecast is actually what we call "equal chances", which means there's no tilt in those odds, so it's just as likely to be a wetter-than-normal winter as a drier-than-normal winter", says Halpert.

The Climate Prediction Center issues updates its 3-month outlooks once per month, NOAA said, and the next update for this winter is expected November 15.

Meanwhile, the southern-third of the US and much of the East Coast could be hunkering down for a wetter than normal December through January.

According to NOAA, in ME, the three-month average snowfall in Portland, across December, January and February, is 14.8 inches, in Bangor 16.1 inches, and in Caribou, 23.4 inches. However, Halper said, it's not expected to be quite as strong as the El Nino that helped lead to the record warm 2015-2016 winter season.

While El Nino is the biggest factor in the forecast, long-term warming from human-caused climate change is a factor, too, Halpert said.

In the U.S. Winter Outlook for December through February, higher-than-normal temperatures are expected across the western and northern U.S., Alaska, and Hawaii. During the winter, typical El Nino conditions in the US can include wetter-than-average precipitation in the South and drier conditions in parts of the North.

A mild winter could be in store for much of the United States, according to the seasonal forecast released Thursday by NOAA.

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Drought conditions are likely to persist across portions of the Southwest, Southern California, the central Great Basin, central Rockies, Northern Plains and portions of the interior Pacific Northwest.

No part of the United States is expected to have below-average temperatures, according to the outlook.

Precipitation is expected to be above normal across the southern tier of the U.S., extending up into the Mid-Atlantic. The chances are highest in southeastern Georgia and much of northern and central Florida.

Drought conditions are anticipated to improve in areas throughout Arizona and New Mexico, southern sections of Utah and Colorado, the coastal Pacific Northwest and the Central Plains.

The real teeth-chattering arrives mid-February especially in the following zones: "Northeast/New England, Great Lakes, Ohio Valley, Midwest, and Southeast (yes, even the Southeast will be in the chill zone!)".

For those looking for snowfall projections, you won't find those in NOAA's winter outlook.

NOAA's Climate Prediction Center updates the three-month outlook each month.

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