Pres. Trump: Republican Party Will Do Well In Upcoming Elections

Joe Raedle  Getty Images North America

Joe Raedle Getty Images North America

'The first issue is they would have to win the House, which they haven't done yet, ' he told the New York Times.

"They all say "Speak about the economy, speak about the economy", well we have the greatest economy in the history of our country", the President told a rally.

This is the outcome that most experts, and polls, are predicting once the midterms are said and done. That's unlikely, by all accounts, because the map is so friendly for the GOP. That conventional wisdom has shifted from a week ago (the Democrats might not take the House after all and the Republicans will certainly hold the Senate) to where it stands today (the Democrats will probably take the House, but narrowly with a net gain of under 35 seats and the Republicans will hold the Senate). To win control, the Democrats must hang on to all their existing seats and win two more. The once strong Republican stronghold went to Hillary Clinton in 2016.

"In view of analysts at Deutsche Bank, tomorrow's United States mid-term elections are the focal point for the week and polls and betting markets indicate that the Democrats are likely to take control of the House, while the Republicans are likely to retain Senate control".

If Democrats take back the House of Representatives, they stress they will be a check on the president, but they also have an ambitious agenda of their own.

Democratic candidates pledge they will take up legislation to increase the minimum wage, expand child care availability and control prescription drug costs.

However, it seems less likely that they will have this dark night of the soul in the first place.

Laying into the tangled legal scandals enveloping the Trump administration - especially the possible collusion between his presidential campaign and Russian operatives - Obama scoffed, "They've racked up enough indictments to fill a football team". In neighboring Georgia, Trump warned, the Democratic gubernatorial candidate Stacey Abrams will turn the state "into Venezuela".

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"I don't care. They can do whatever they want, and I can do whatever I want", Trump said as he deplaned in IN for his second rally of the day. He plans to spend Election Day conducting get-out-the-vote interviews with local media at the White House.

Michael Gregoire marched along a downtown sidewalk in the tense days before the midterm elections, waving a hand-painted sign at passing traffic: "DEFEAT REPUBLICANS 2018".

CNN shows the dems ahead in the House of Representatives 55 to 42 per cent.

"They're telling us that the single most, grave threat to America is a bunch of poor, broke, impoverished, refugees". Heidi Heitkamp, a Democrat, in North Dakota. "That means Democrats are still susceptible to a national polling error allowing Republicans to barely hold on".

But all may not be lost for the Democrats in the 6th Congressional District, where incumbent Republican Andy Barr only has a narrow lead over Amy McGrath, a retired Marine fighter pilot. Bloomberg photo by Aaron P. Bernstein.

Things to watch for: The battle for the Senate rages on, with three of the four most likely tipping point races reporting in at 8 p.m. "Instead, Democrats remain modest - though not runaway - favorites to gain House control", Enten writes.

Republican-affiliated voters have outpaced Democratic-affiliated voters in Arizona, Florida, Georgia, Indiana, Montana, Tennessee and Texas. FiveThirtyEight has them at a 1-in-8 shot. While President Trump's focus on immigration has helped Republicans in some races, others fear that he has gone too far and alienated swing voters. It wouldn't necessarily be a resounding affirmation of Trump - these are only red states the GOP would be winning - but it would lead to some real, justified soul-searching. In practical terms that means that for McCaskill to hold on in Missouri, Donnelly in IN and Tester in Montana, and for Heitkamp to mount a comeback in North Dakota, the terrain is steep but not insurmountable. Maybe the GOP narrowly holds the House, but Democrats keep the Senate close.

President Donald Trump shrugged off the prospect of Democrats going after his tax returns if the party wins control of the House in this week's midterm contests, suggesting Monday he was unbothered by a protracted fight over his financial documents. It's really hard to rule anything out, given we're in uncharted territory here, and that all of our previous assumptions about how these things work have been called into question. The safest bet is not to assume everything happens as neatly as you expect they will.

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