Disturbance on Florida's doorstep has 70% chance of development

FIRST ALERT A potential tropical system could impact parts of the Southeastern coast starting this weekend

FIRST ALERT A potential tropical system could impact parts of the Southeastern coast starting this weekend

- There is a chance a tropical system could develop off the coast of southeast Florida, but, even if it does, it will likely move into the Atlantic Ocean. While this disturbance looks to swing away from the east coast, it has brought some heavier rains to parts of Florida and the Bahamas.

Environmental conditions could become more conducive for the storm's development as it moves back toward the Atlantic on Saturday.

The center is giving Disturbance 2 a 70% chance of developing by Sunday and 80% by Wednesday.

There are no watches or warnings in effect as of Saturday morning.

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We are watching a weak area of low pressure near the southeastern coast of the Florida peninsula. Additional slow development of this system is possible during the next few days as it moves generally westward at about 15 miles per hour.

It is a very small system so despite some wind shear it is expected to strengthen through the next few days as it moves toward the far eastern islands of the Caribbean. The rain chance from this storm has decreased since Friday.

If the system goes from tropical disturbance and grows into a tropical storm it will be the fourth named storm of the 2019 hurricane season, "Dorian".

By mid week the typical summer pattern should resume in South Florida and Bradenton, the National Weather Service says.

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