Growing threat for tropical system to move into Gulf

ABC News
Severe storms continue

ABC News Severe storms continue

Up Next: Spotty showers and storms today, but drier conditions will ensue Thursday and Friday. High temperatures will stay in the mid-to-upper 90s through the remainder of the workweek. Rain chances increase over the weekend, as highs approach 90° Sunday.

Other tropical waves are now moving across the Atlantic Ocean from Africa to the Windward Islands.

We continue to monitor a disturbance near the Bahamas that now has a 70% to become a tropical depression in the next 5 days. The system is then expected to move through the Florida Straits and into the Gulf of Mexico where warm water could lead to stronger development.

That being said, main threats to parts of Middle Georgia remain periods of heavy rain and potentially some gusty winds.

ABC News
Heavy rain develops
ABC News Heavy rain develops

A tropical wave over the Southeast Bahamas now has a high chance for development as it moves into the Eastern Gulf of Mexico by the weekend. It is associated with a sharp trough of low pressure. For now, we are forecasting a 40% chance for rain Monday through Wednesday and highs in the mid 80s. Models are showing this to be a fairly significant tropical system over the Atlantic in about six days.

It has a 20 percent chance of development over the next five days. The second is located near the Cape Verde Islands and has a 30% chance of development during the next five days.

At this time, forecast models suggest that this could strengthen further to become a tropical storm before making landfall by the end of the weekend or very early next week.

The upper-level pattern over the southeast U.S. will stay relatively the same through the week as a ridge is centered over the Appalachians. The local forecast now has a 30% chance for scattered rain Monday and Tuesday for the potential that some additional tropical moisture reaches the Brazos Valley. Until we get more data, especially from reconnaissance aircraft, models will be in disagreement. The GFS operational run shows a closed low developing, but its ensembles do not.

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