Tropical wave in Bahamas could develop in Gulf of Mexico

Tropical Storm Warnings for the Bahamas

Tropical Storm Warnings for the Bahamas

Mostly sunny to partly cloudy and unseasonably hot. Temperatures will climb into the mid-90s this afternoon with the heat index between 97 and 102. Mostly clear skies continue tonight, with lows around 73°. High pressure will rebuild tomorrow and Friday dropping the rain chances, and temperatures will soar into the mid 90s once again. Rain chances increase over the weekend, as highs approach 90° Sunday. "We're looking at heavy tropical downpours, some gusty winds possible". In the tropics, Tropical Wave Invest 95L will move into the Gulf this weekend, possibly becoming a depression or storm. It has a 20% chance of development over five days. The second is located near the Cape Verde Islands and has a 30% chance of development during the next five days. By Thursday, however, upper-level winds are forecast to become unfavorable for tropical cyclone formation.

The system is producing a cluster of rain and thunderstorms near the Turks and Caicos, and will slowly move northwest over the next several days. The latest update by the National Hurricane Center includes its low development potential (at this juncture) as the wave crosses over the Bahamas.

Forecasters with the National Hurricane Center have both hands full of tropical weather systems to keep tabs on during this, the peak of the Hurricane Season.

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And it's there that conditions could be a little more favorable for it to develop.

The forecast says there's a 60 to 80 percent chance of showers starting Thursday. But, Sunday and Monday could be even wetter with scattered showers. The tropical wave is now forecast to move into the eastern Gulf of Mexico by the end of the week. The opposite is the case for the EURO, where the operational run show no closed low and the ensembles do.

Despite possibly weakening, Gabrielle is still forecasted to bring rain and heat to most of the United Kingdom.

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