NOAA's winter outlook points towards winter with active pattern

Winter 2019 temperature probability forecast from NOAA

Winter 2019 temperature probability forecast from NOAA

Southern Wisconsin can expect to see more than average precipitation this winter, according to the latest seasonal forecast from The National Atmospheric and Oceanic Administration (NOAA).

The Climate Prediction Center said its outlook for a warmer and wetter winter is mainly based on the absence of dominant weather patterns, such as El Niño or La Niña. In addition, ME and New England is forecast to have "equal chances for below-, near-, or above-average precipitation" this winter.

They do have the serious scientific technology in their Climate Prediction Center to make the call, so it seems believable. It highlights higher-than-even odds of temperatures being warmer than average over much of the country, with a lean toward above-normal precipitation across the northern United States.

So let's now look at the NOAA temperature outlook.

So on one side we have the Almanac saying it's going to be extra cold and snowy, and on the other we have the NOAA predicting warmer temps and pretty much normal precipitation.

Lionel Messi praises Liverpool defender Virgil Van Dijk for his performances
Eight straight league victories have given Jurgen Klopp's men control of the title race and firm favouritism against a United side languishing in 12th.

Drier-than-average conditions are most likely for Louisiana, parts of Texas, Mississippi, Arkansas, and Oklahoma as well areas of northern and central California. This covers the months of December, January, and February. The next update will be available on November 21.

With plenty of opportunities for cold air intrusions, Michiana is in a zone where "wetter" could certainly mean many storm systems with snow, or a wintry mix.

Like all weather forecasting, seasonal forecasting is tricky, especially this far in advance-so maybe heed the wise words of our local meteorologists and think twice before you shut off your heat and donate all your winter gear to Goodwill.

"We have a greater-than-normal chance of having a wetter-than-normal winter". That doesn't necessarily mean more snow. If you can, please consider a voluntary subscription to TSwails of $12 dollars a year ($1 dollar per month).

Recommended News

We are pleased to provide this opportunity to share information, experiences and observations about what's in the news.
Some of the comments may be reprinted elsewhere in the site or in the newspaper.
Thank you for taking the time to offer your thoughts.